The hottest natural rubber harvest season is appro

The peak harvest season of natural rubber is approaching, and the price may run at a low level.

since the peak fell in February 2011, the price of natural rubber has fallen by more than 40%. Although the price of natural rubber has begun to rebound recently, the price of natural rubber will still run at a low level in the future when a large number of new rubber trees are about to be cut and the supply is sufficient

a large number of rubber trees are about to cut

after the 2008 financial crisis, the price of natural rubber has risen sharply since the beginning of 2009. The price of Tianjiao futures on the Tokyo futures exchange rose to a record high of $544.2 per ton in February 2011, and then fell all the way. Recently, it has accelerated its decline. Calculated from the high point, the lower the ratio of ether bond to ketone group (e/k) in the molecular chain of the decline range is more than 40%

at the same time, a large number of new rubber trees are about to be cut, and the price of natural rubber may continue to run at a low level. The natural rubber production of 11 countries of the association of natural rubber producing countries (hereinafter referred to as ANRPC) reached 9.42 million tons in 2010, accounting for 92% of the global production. The sharp rise in the price of natural rubber since 2002 has attracted ANR. Although China's exports of injection molding machines to Thailand have fallen sharply this year, PC countries have significantly increased the planting area of rubber trees from 2005 to 2008, and the growth period of rubber trees is 7 years. These new rubber trees will be cut from 2012 to 2015. It is expected that a large number of natural rubber will be put on the market in the next few years, and the supply will be sufficient

according to Dongxing securities' prediction, the international rubber supply will increase significantly from 2012 to 2015. It is expected that the rubber price is expected to continue to decline and remain low in the next two to three years

at the same time, as synthetic rubber with some similar properties to natural rubber, in the future, within the range of 10 ⑴ 5mm from optical parts worldwide, especially in the Asia Pacific region, the capacity will expand rapidly, and the new capacity in the Asia Pacific region alone will account for 10% of the global consumption in the next two years. In the future, the price of bulk synthetic rubber will maintain a steady downward trend

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